race 1
number 7 had a strong angle actually he had more than just one angle. . number 3 had a strong angle but was moving up in class and my method ignores horses that are moving up in class no matter how great they appear. thus number 7 was the contender, became the favorite at 6-5 and was the play. he lead all the way and won easy by three lengths. the place pay out was a bit of a disappointment at 2.60. the number 3 that looked great but was rising in class wasn't in the money.
race 2
number 6 showed a strong angle. number 7 had a strong angle but both of its last two races were at a b rated track, thus, ignored. number 7 became the 4-5 favorite, lead most of the way and won by about 1 1/2 lengths. paid the pay out was an insult however as it paid more to show than it paid to place. 2.70 to show and 2.40 to place. it should have been the other way around at least.
race 3
number 4 was a favorite in its last race and lost and tonight is the favorite again.....this is an automatic play for me.....HOWEVER ....it broke stride in its last race. cardinal rule of horse racing.....do not bet on a horse that broke stride in its last race. there were no other contenders, so pass this race. number 4 led for most of the race..ran out of gas in the stretch..finished fourth.
race 4
number 6 showed a strong angle. however, as one of the rules i posted in my previous post....when there are three horses at post time who have odds so close together that you cannot be certain who the favorite or second choice is going to be..pass the race. the number 1, the number 6 and number ten were 3-1 3-1 5-2......then 3-1 5-2 3-1.....and they kept switching around. number 10 became a 2-1 favorite after the race started. i couldn't bet this race..my testing has shown me it is best to pass races like this. number 10 won and number 6 finished 3rd.
race 5
number 4 showed a strong angle but it was on the fringes of what is acceptable it was dropping in class but its last race was terrible and its odds were 72-1 . clearly showing he did not warrant being in that class. my studies have shown fringe qualifiers like him are better passed on. regardless, he wasn't the favorite or second choice so he woiuld not have been bet. thus i would bet the favorite but the two lowest horses on the tote board were trading places being the favorite and were at identical odds. there was no clear cut decision. the race was passed. number 4 finished 3rd ..almost got up for 2nd. the two confused favorites were not in the money.
race 6
horse number 6 showed a strong angle. number 7 showed a strong angle but had not raced in over a month. in harness racing..if a horse hasn't raced within 14 days it is ignored. thus number 6 was only contender with a strong profile and went of as a clear 9/5 second choice and became the play. it sat in 4th most of the race..made a three wide move at the top of the stretch and closed in sharply, winning by a head. too bad the 3/2 favorite held on to second and made the chance of a generous place pay remote. however. another insult as the 3/2 favorite paid more to place than my 9/5 second choice. the favorite paid a pretty nice 3.40 to place while my 9/5 second choice paid 2.90 to place!! what a bunch of bullshit.
race 7
passed race. as per the rule i stated in my previous post....ignore races where too many of the horses are coming from different tracks. it was an 8 horse field and 5 of the horses are coming from inferior b rated tracks. to make things even sillier......the horses from the inferior tracks were showing good races while the woodbine horses were dogs in their last races. you have the best of the mediocre going up against the worst of the higher class track. this race was a pile of crap. one of the horses from one of the inferior BUMFUCK race tracks became the favorite and won.
race 8
geez..where do i begin with this one? most of the horses were from a different track last race HOWEVER most of them are woodbine horses who went to a different track for a stake race. the number 7 was a hot favorite in that race..1-5.....and broke at the beginning of the race and was out. BUT...in that same race the number 8 horse also broke stride at the beginning. now you have to wonder if the 8 breaking stride freaked out the 7 and made it break stride. also, the number 3 horse was in that race and broke stride later in the race at the stretch. was there something wrong with the track? as this just a weird voodoo race? it get trickier because number 6 was also in that race and won it in a fashion that shows a strong angle HOWEVER did he win this way simply because his main competitor..the 1-5 favorite, self destructed at the start? to add to this dilema, number 7 lost as the 1-5 favorite and is the favorite again tonight, an automatic play BUT he broke stride and you are not supposed to play him yet he has a very good record with no breaks and was that break just a blip because of the other horse breaking at the start? are there enough BUTS AND HOWEVERS here? is there enough doubt here for you? i did not bet. number 7 went off as an even money favorite and went from last place to first place down the stretch as he was flying like he was shot out of a cannon.
race 9
number 2 lost as the favorite in its last race but did not become a favorite tonight. of the remaining horses , number 3 and number 7 both had strong angles but both were moving up in class...thus no bet. number 3 won at 7-1 just to piss me off. if you find the amount of passed races annoying imagine me sitting here for 4 hours watching these races waiting for a bet.
race 10
i looked at this race and saw a very strong angle and was upset instead of happy because i knew the horse was going to go off at 1-5 if not lower. number 2 was massively strong and everyone could see it and its odds opened at 1-5. the odds rose to 3-5 which still wasn't worth the hassle. i didn;t play him but even if i did.....the second choice had to come second yet again to erode the place pool, not that it would have made a big difference.....and number 2 took the lead soon after the first turn and there wasn't much doubt after that. the second choice, number 7, closed very slowly in the stretch and number 2 won by about 3/4 of a length. if i had bet i would have got a 2.30 place pay out and the INSULT , YET AGAIN, of it playing more to show...2.40 than to place.
for the night...on 200 bets per race.....i am up 190 bucks.....3 for 3. prevoius night i was 3 for 4 and up 120 bucks. but the pay offs tonight were rip offs. like i said..this is just one track....with off track betting theatres you can bet multiple tracks. thus that 310 bucks in 2 days could 3 or 4 times as much potentially if you are play multiple tracks. sticks to big tracks with big betting pools..this method will not work at the small bum fuck tracks.
